Скотт Риттер: «Ritter's Rant 087» — петля OODA по‑ирански, удар по ОАЭ и Ормуз

Ritter’s Rant 087: The OODA Loop, Iranian-style

Источник: https://scottritter.substack.com/p/ritters-rant-087-the-ooda-loop-iranian

Hello and welcome to this episode of Ritter's Rant. Today we're going to be talking about the OODA loop. People have heard me speak of this before. It's a decision-making cycle, observe, orient, decide, act. Put together, it creates the OODA loop. John Boyd, an Air Force colonel, came up with this idea. He used it in fighter pilot application. His concept was that if he can get you to react to him, if he can get inside your decision-making cycle, he will shoot you down every time. As a former Marine, I came into my experiences in the Marine Corps at the birth of maneuver warfare doctrine. General Al Gray was the command on the Marine Corps. He used to be the commander of the Second Marine Division. And he adopted, you know, Boyd's OODA loop and applied that to the Marine Corps maneuver warfare. We were done with sending Marines over the beach to go head on into the enemy so we could build monuments like the Iwo Jima Memorial.

The idea would be to exploit our capacity to maneuver to hit the enemy where they weren't and also to act first, make the enemy react to us and take advantage of that, create a cycle that resulted in victory for the United States. Now, why am I bringing this up right now? As we are doing this, as I'm speaking on this, Iran is striking energy targets in the United Arab Emirates, decisive strikes that are designed to cripple the United Arab Emirates' ability to produce energy. This will be, of course, a serious blow to the United Arab Emirates, could even be fatal to them in the long term. Why is Iran doing this? Well, Iran's doing this because the United States, in concert with the United Arab Emirates, was making a move to eliminate Iran's ability to control the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's decision to seize control of the Strait of Hormuz, of course, came only after the United States and Israel and the United Arab Emirates.

We tend to ignore this part when we say that Iran was attacked on February 28th by the United States and Israel the United Arab Emirates is an active participant remember it was Israel that sent air defense missile defense capabilities to the United Arab Emirates the only Gulf Arab nation that received Israeli anti missiles, which includes Israeli soldiers. So Israeli soldiers based on, you know, Arab territory, unthinkable. This means that the United Arab Emirates is part of the greater Israeli project part, which means, again, when we look at that, that, you know, if you buy into the greater Israeli project, that means you buy into the death of Iran. The two cannot coexist. And so this is about a war of existential survival for Iran. and they have broken the code that if you're going to break the cycle that has allowed the United States, Israel, and the Gulf Arab states to align themselves against Iran, to sanction Iran, to seek to throttle Iran, strangle Iran, and now attack Iran to terminate Iran.

You have to threaten them with their own existential survival, and seizure of the Strait of Hormuz has done just that. It's put the regional economies of these Gulf Arab nations at risk, along with their you know their viability is nation states and it's put the global economy at risk and this is of course what can be used to deter the United States which has no immediate existential you know investment you know the United States isn't being attacked by Iran as we speak and it's not going to be attacked by Iran what impacts the United States of course is the economy and the political impact that a bad economy has on those in power and the Iranians have figured this out and so they're holding on to the Strait of Hormuz now the United States seeks to break Iran's grip on this and so we have enacted a counter you know plan where we were going to use the United States Navy to help escort ships out the Iranians said no that's not going to be allowed and but rather than play the gentle escalation game which they have done in the past you know when you do the when you have a an escalation ladder that is The premise is we will match your escalation.

So Israel attacks, Iran responds. The United States attacks, Iran responds. What happens is Israel and the United States are the ones that are defining the action. It is their decision-making cycle that's running the show. The Iranians are responding and they are, you know, the United States and Israel are inside the Iranian decision-making cycle. Iran is breaking that your methodology right now that paradigm Iran is defining the escalation cycle and so when the United States actually Ron doesn't meet the action it exceeds the action it is now holding the United Arab Emirates directly responsible for the actions of the United States and now the United States has a choice to match or exceed the Iranian actions or to back down now if we match and exceed we are playing a game where the economic penalty we will you know face is going to be tremendous which means the political penalty that Donald Trump faces will be of an existential nature now Iran is messing with the existential survival of the American administration of Donald Trump.

They're also messing with the existential survival of the United Arab Emirates. They're basically putting the United Arab Emirates on notice that they are going to die as a modern nation state. And so the next exhalation may be desalination plans. That's the end of Abu Dhabi in Dubai. They're gone. They're finished. this is what we're talking about ladies and gentlemen this is no longer just you know news that you're reading on the newspaper dead bodies blown up buildings we're talking about the literal death of nations Iran is in a position to destroy the United Arab Emirates as a functioning nation state and they may have already made that decision and in doing so they're putting Kuwait Bahrain Qatar on notice that this will be your fate if you continue to play stupid games if you continue to allow the United States to put your the fate of your nations at risk through acts of stupidity.

Iran didn't seize the Strait Hormuz in a vacuum. They didn't wake up one morning and say, what are we going to do to irritate the world? Let's take the Strait Hormuz. Iran took the Strait Hormuz after they were attacked by the United States and Israel, a surprise attack, an act of perfidy carried out by the United States as we were negotiating with Iran to resolve what we deemed to be the existential threat worthy of an attack, their nuclear program. There was a an agreement that had been reached. The Omani foreign minister was flying to the United States to seal the deal when we stabbed Iran in the back. This is why Iran has done what they've done. And now Iran will continue to escalate the OODA loop, the decision making cycle. Iran's in charge right now. And I think the United Arab Emirates is about to, you know, get the find out aspect of the FAFO equation. And other nations are in line as well.

Maybe even the United States. Anyways, that's been my rant. Next time a thought crosses my mind, I'll be sure to let you know.

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═══ Транскрипция видео 1 ═══

Hello, and welcome to this episode of Ritter's Rant. Today, we're going to be talking about the OODA loop. People have heard me speak of this before. It's a decision-making cycle, observe, orient, decide, act. Put together, it creates the OODA loop. John Boyd, an Air Force Colonel, came up with this idea. He used it in fighter pilot application. His concept was that if he can get you to react to him, if he can get inside your decision-making cycle, he will shoot you down every time. As a former Marine, I came into my experiences in the Marine Corps at the birth of maneuver warfare doctrine. General Al Gray was the commandant of the Marine Corps. He used to be the commander of the 2nd Marine Division, and he adopted, you know, Boyd's OODA loop and applied that to the Marine Corps, maneuver warfare. We were done with sending Marines over the beach to go head on into the enemy so we could build monuments like the Iwo Jima Memorial. The idea would be to exploit our capacity to maneuver to hit the enemy where they weren't, and also to, you know, act first, make the enemy react to us, and take advantage of that, create a cycle that resulted in victory for the United States. Now, why am I bringing this up right now? As we are doing this, as I'm speaking on this, Iran is striking energy targets in the United Arab Emirates, decisive strikes that are designed to cripple the United Arab Emirates' ability to produce energy. This will be, of course, you know, a serious blow to the United Arab Emirates. It could even be fatal to them in the long term. Why is Iran doing this? Well, Iran is doing this because the United States, in concert with the United Arab Emirates, was making a move to eliminate Iran's ability to control the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's decision to seize control of the Strait of Hormuz, of course, came only after the United States and Israel and the United Arab Emirates. We tend to ignore this part when we say that Iran was attacked on February 28th by the United States and Israel. The United Arab Emirates is an active participant. Remember, it was Israel that sent air defense, missile defense capabilities to the United Arab Emirates, the only Gulf Arab nation that received Israeli anti-missiles, which includes Israeli soldiers. So Israeli soldiers based on, you know, Arab territory. Unthinkable. This means that the United Arab Emirates is part of the Greater Israeli Project part, which means, again, when we look at that, that, you know, if you buy into the Greater Israeli Project, that means you buy into the death of Iran. The two cannot coexist. And so this is about a war of existential survival for Iran. And they have broken the code that if you're going to break the cycle that has allowed the United States, Israel and the Gulf Arab states to align themselves against Iran, to sanction Iran, to seek to throttle Iran, strangle Iran, and now attack Iran to terminate Iran, you have to threaten them with their own existential survival.

And seizure of the Strait of Hormuz has done just that. It's put the regional economies of these Gulf Arab nations at risk, along with their, you know, their viability as nation states. And it's put the global economy at risk. And this is, of course, what can be used to deter the United States, which has no immediate existential, you know, investment. You know, the United States isn't being attacked by Iran as we speak, and it's not going to be attacked by Iran. What impacts the United States, of course, is the economy and the political impact that a bad economy has on those in power. And the Iranians have figured this out. And so they're holding on to the Strait of Hormuz. Now, the United States seeks to break Iran's grip on this. And so we have enacted a counter, you know, plan where we were going to use the United States Navy to help escort ships out. The Iranians said, no, that's not going to be allowed. And but rather than play the gentle escalation game, which they have done in the past, you know, when you do the when you have a an escalation ladder, that is, you know, the premises, we will match your escalation. So Israel attacks, Iran responds, United States attacks, Iran responds. What happens is Israel and the United States are the ones that are defining the action. It is their decision making cycle that's running the show, the Iranians are responding and they are, you know, the United States and Israel are inside the Iranian decision making cycle.

Iran is breaking that methodology right now, that paradigm. Iran is defining the escalation cycle. And so when the United States acts, Iran doesn't meet the action, it exceeds the action. It is now holding the United Arab Emirates directly responsible for the actions of the the United States. And now the United States has a choice to match or exceed the Iranian actions or to back down. Now, if we match and exceed, we are playing a game where the economic penalty we will face is going to be tremendous, which means the political penalty that Donald Trump faces will be of an existential nature. Now Iran is messing with the existential survival of the American administration of Donald Trump. They're also messing with the existential survival of the United Arab Emirates. They're basically putting the United Arab Emirates on notice that they are going to die as a modern nation state. And so the next exhalation may be desalination plans. That's the end of Abu Dhabi in Dubai. They're gone. They're finished. This is what we're talking about, ladies and gentlemen. This is no longer just, you know, news that you're reading on the newspaper, dead bodies, blown up buildings. We're talking about the literal death of nations. Iran is in a position to destroy the United Arab Emirates as a functioning nation state.

And they may have already made that decision. And in doing so, they're putting Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar on notice that this will be your fate. If you continue to play stupid games, if you continue to allow the United States to put your, the fate of your nations at risk through acts of stupidity. Iran didn't seize the straight or moves in a vacuum. They didn't wake up one morning and say, what are we going to do to irritate the world? Let's take the straight or moves. Iran took the straight or moves after they were attacked by the United States and Israel, a surprise attack, an act of perfidy carried out by the United States as we were negotiating with Iran to resolve what we deemed to be the existential threat worthy of an attack, their nuclear program. There was a, an agreement that had been reached. The Omani foreign minister was flying through the United States to seal the deal when we stabbed Iran in the back. This is why Iran has done what they've done. And now Iran will continue to escalate the Oodaloo, the decision-making cycle. Iran's in charge right now. And I think the United Arab Emirates is about to, you know, get the find out aspect of the FAFO equation and other nations are in line as well. Maybe even the United States. Anyways, that's been my, uh, my rant. Next time a thought crosses my mind, I'll be sure to let you know. Thank you.

═══ Транскрипция видео 2 ═══

Hello, and welcome to this episode of Ritter's Rant. Today, we're going to be talking about the OODA loop. People have heard me speak of this before. It's a decision-making cycle, observe, orient, decide, act. Put together, it creates the OODA loop. John Boyd, an Air Force Colonel, came up with this idea. He used it in fighter pilot application. His concept was that if he can get you to react to him, if he can get inside your decision-making cycle, he will shoot you down every time. As a former Marine, I came into my experiences in the Marine Corps at the birth of maneuver warfare doctrine. General Al Gray was the commandant of the Marine Corps. He used to be the commander of the 2nd Marine Division, and he adopted, you know, Boyd's OODA loop and applied that to the Marine Corps, maneuver warfare. We were done with sending Marines over the beach to go head on into the enemy so we could build monuments like the Iwo Jima Memorial. The idea would be to exploit our capacity to maneuver to hit the enemy where they weren't, and also to, you know, act first, make the enemy react to us, and take advantage of that, create a cycle that resulted in victory for the United States. Now, why am I bringing this up right now? As we are doing this, as I'm speaking on this, Iran is striking energy targets in the United Arab Emirates, decisive strikes that are designed to cripple the United Arab Emirates' ability to produce energy. This will be, of course, you know, a serious blow to the United Arab Emirates. It could even be fatal to them in the long term. So why is Iran doing this? Well, Iran is doing this because the United States, in concert with the United Arab Emirates, was making a move to eliminate Iran's ability to control the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's decision to seize control of the Strait of Hormuz, of course, came only after the United States and Israel and the United Arab Emirates. We tend to ignore this part when we say that Iran was attacked on February 28th by the United States and Israel. The United Arab Emirates is an active participant. Remember, it was Israel that sent air defense missile defense capabilities to the United Arab Emirates, the only Gulf Arab nation that received Israeli anti-missiles, which includes Israeli soldiers. So Israeli soldiers based on, you know, Arab territory. Unthinkable. This means that the United Arab Emirates is part of the greater Israeli project part, which means, again, when we look at that, that, you know, if you buy into the greater Israeli project, that means you buy into the death of Iran. The two cannot coexist. And so this is about a war of existential survival for Iran. And they have broken the code that if you're going to break the cycle that has allowed the United States, Israel, and the Gulf Arab states to align themselves against Iran, to sanction Iran, to seek to throttle Iran, strangle Iran, and now attack Iran to terminate Iran, Iran. You have to threaten them with their own existential survival. And seizure of the Strait of Hormuz has done just that. It's put the regional economies of these Gulf Arab nations at risk, along with their, you know, their viability as nation states. And it's put the global economy at risk.

And you know, the United States isn't being attacked by Iran as we speak, and it's not going to be attacked by Iran. What impacts the United States, of course, is the economy and the political impact that a bad economy has on those in power. And the Iranians have figured this out. And so they're holding on to the Strait of Hormuz. Now, the United States seeks to break Iran's grip on this. And so we have enacted a counter plan where we were going to use the United States Navy to help escort ships out. The Iranians said, no, that's not going to be allowed. But rather than play the gentle escalation game, which they have done in the past, you know, when you do the when you have a an escalation ladder, that is, you know, the premises, we will match your escalation. So Israel attacks, Iran responds, United States attacks, Iran responds. What happens is Israel and the United States are the ones that are defining the action. It is their decision making cycle that's running the show. The Iranians are responding and they are, you know, the United States and Israel are inside the Iranian decision making cycle. Iran is breaking that methodology right now, that paradigm. Iran is defining the escalation cycle. And so when the United States acts, Iran doesn't meet the action, it exceeds the action. It is now holding the United Arab Emirates directly responsible for the actions of the United States. And now the United States has a choice to match or exceed the Iranian actions or to back down. Now, if we match and exceed, we are playing a game where the economic penalty we will face is going to be tremendous, which means the political penalty that Donald Trump faces will be of an existential nature. Now Iran is messing with the existential survival of the American administration of Donald Trump. They're also messing with the existential survival of the United Arab Emirates. They're basically putting the United Arab Emirates on notice that they are going to die as a modern nation state. And so the next exhalation may be desalination plans. That's the end of Abu Dhabi in Dubai. They're gone. They're finished. This is what we're talking about, ladies and gentlemen. This is no longer just news that just news that you're reading on the newspaper, dead bodies, blown up buildings. We're talking about the literal death of nations. Iran is in a position to destroy the United Arab Emirates as a functioning nation state. And they may have already made that decision. And in doing so, they're putting Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar on notice that this will be your fate if you continue to play stupid games. If you continue to allow the United States to put the fate of your nations at risk through acts of stupidity.

Iran didn't seize the Strait Hormuz in a vacuum. They didn't wake up one morning and say, "What are we going to do to irritate the world?" Let's take the Strait Hormuz. Iran took the Strait Hormuz after they were attacked by the United States and Israel. A surprise attack, an act of perfidy carried out by the United States as we were negotiating with Iran to resolve what we deemed to be the existential threat worthy of an attack, their nuclear program. There was an agreement that had been reached. The Omani foreign minister was flying to the United States to seal the deal when we stabbed Iran in the back. This is why Iran has done what they've done. And now Iran will continue to escalate the OODA loop, the decision-making cycle. Iran's in charge right now. And I think the United Arab Emirates is about to, you know, get the find out aspect of the FAFO equation. And other nations are in line as well. Maybe even the United States.

Anyways, that's been my rant. Next time a thought crosses my mind, I'll be sure to let you know. Thank you.